The Defiant Gatekeeper plans to sell under three scenarios: major semiconductor or AI companies indicate plateauing or missed revenue/earnings growth, Kevin Warsh fails to convince the Fed for a rate cut, or forward price-to-earnings of semiconductor and Mac 7 stocks reach over 45-50 times.

The Defiant Gatekeeper believes the US cannot afford to have the stock market crash, as demonstrated by the US-Iran war where Trump wanted to prevent oil price increases and a market crash to maintain his popularity.

The Defiant Gatekeeper predicts that if Kevin Warsh steps in as the new Fed chair, he will face significant challenges convincing board members to follow his lead due to the division seen in the April 2026 FOMC.

The Defiant Gatekeeper predicts that if any of the upcoming IPOs fail to meet demand or justify their valuation, overall market sentiment could break, leading to a significant market drop.

The Defiant Gatekeeper predicts that new innovations like full self-driving and humanoid robots will require double or triple the amount of chips from semiconductor companies, extending the current cycle for many years.