The Defiant Gatekeeper predicts that if any of the upcoming IPOs fail to meet demand or justify their valuation, overall market sentiment could break, leading to a significant market drop.

The Defiant Gatekeeper believes the US cannot afford to have the stock market crash, as demonstrated by the US-Iran war where Trump wanted to prevent oil price increases and a market crash to maintain his popularity.

The Defiant Gatekeeper plans to sell under three scenarios: major semiconductor or AI companies indicate plateauing or missed revenue/earnings growth, Kevin Warsh fails to convince the Fed for a rate cut, or forward price-to-earnings of semiconductor and Mac 7 stocks reach over 45-50 times.