The Defiant Gatekeeper believes the US cannot afford to have the stock market crash, as demonstrated by the US-Iran war where Trump wanted to prevent oil price increases and a market crash to maintain his popularity.

The Defiant Gatekeeper predicts that if any of the upcoming IPOs fail to meet demand or justify their valuation, overall market sentiment could break, leading to a significant market drop.

The Defiant Gatekeeper plans to sell under three scenarios: major semiconductor or AI companies indicate plateauing or missed revenue/earnings growth, Kevin Warsh fails to convince the Fed for a rate cut, or forward price-to-earnings of semiconductor and Mac 7 stocks reach over 45-50 times.