In late 2025, the US conducted Operation Midnight Hammer, bombing Iranian sites with B2s and MOABs, exactly as modeled in Robert Pape's classes three weeks prior.

On February 28, 2026, the bombing that killed the Iranian Supreme Leader and other 'doves' was started by Israel, with the US coming in behind.

Robert Pape modeled a hypothetical bombing campaign of Iran versus the United States for 20 years in his classes.

Robert Pape predicts that taking out the generating hulls of Iran's electric power plants would stop power generation for 6-18 months, leading to widespread deaths from lack of dialysis, heart surgeries, and food refrigeration.

President Trump's plan for Iran's enriched uranium involves either Iran voluntarily giving it to the US or the US taking action itself, referencing a past operation called "Midnight Hammer."