Robert Pape predicts that taking out the generating hulls of Iran's electric power plants would stop power generation for 6-18 months, leading to widespread deaths from lack of dialysis, heart surgeries, and food refrigeration.

Robert Pape modeled a hypothetical bombing campaign of Iran versus the United States for 20 years in his classes.

In late 2025, the US conducted Operation Midnight Hammer, bombing Iranian sites with B2s and MOABs, exactly as modeled in Robert Pape's classes three weeks prior.