Ivan Yakovina predicts that the Russian oil terminal in Novorossiysk will likely not operate for the next few weeks or even months, halting fuel loading onto tankers.

Ivan Yakovina believes that the destruction of Russia's three main oil export ports creates conditions under which Vladimir Putin will be forced to seriously consider announcing mobilization, even against his own desires.

Ivan Yakovina observes that Russian air defense (PVO) in the Novorossiysk area has significantly deteriorated, with few anti-aircraft missiles visible and chaotic machine gun fire replacing them.

Ukrainian drones launched a series of strikes on the main facilities of the Sheskharis oil loading terminal in Novorossiysk.

During the Novorossiysk attack, drones destroyed equipment at both berths of the oil terminal, blew up and set fire to pipeline shut-off valves, and destroyed several oil quantity and quality measurement system units.