Ivan Yakovina believes that the destruction of Russia's three main oil export ports creates conditions under which Vladimir Putin will be forced to seriously consider announcing mobilization, even against his own desires.

Ivan Yakovina predicts that the Russian oil terminal in Novorossiysk will likely not operate for the next few weeks or even months, halting fuel loading onto tankers.

Ivan Yakovina recommends that Russian men aged 20 to 50 (or even 60) obtain a foreign passport, find alternative housing, stock up on food and cash, and avoid military commissariats for the next 6-12 months, even if they receive 100 mobilization summons.